In the former East Germany, the far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD) party is on the cusp of becoming the strongest force in regional politics, as it leads in polls ahead of state elections in Saxony and Thuringia. The party, known for its anti-immigration stance and nationalist rhetoric, has tapped into public discontent over issues such as migration, economic challenges, and Germany’s support for Ukraine, which has alienated some voters.

The rise of the AfD, which is currently under observation by Germany’s domestic intelligence agency for suspected extremism, reflects a broader trend of growing populism across the region. This surge has come at the expense of the mainstream parties, including Chancellor Olaf Scholz’s Social Democrats, the Greens, and the Free Democrats, who have struggled to maintain their influence amid a shifting political landscape. Analysts point to dissatisfaction with Berlin’s policies, particularly regarding immigration and economic transformation, as key drivers of the AfD’s popularity.

The political climate has further intensified following a recent terror attack in Solingen, which has reignited debates about immigration and integration. The AfD has capitalized on these concerns, particularly in the wake of revelations that the suspect, a Syrian asylum-seeker, could have been deported earlier. The party’s rhetoric has drawn criticism for evoking Nazi-era sentiments, with its Thuringian leader, Björn Höcke, being fined for using slogans linked to Germany’s dark past.

As Germany prepares for the state elections, other populist parties like the left-wing Bündnis Sahra Wagenknecht (BSW) are also gaining traction, complicating the political landscape. The prospect of the AfD securing a significant victory raises concerns about the future of coalition-building in Germany, with many mainstream parties reluctant to collaborate with the far-right.

With voters heading to the polls, the outcome of these elections could have far-reaching implications, not just for regional governance, but for the broader direction of German politics as the nation grapples with rising populism and societal divisions.